Sunday, April 5, 2015

The Middle East: Obama's Dream, Everyone's Nightmare

In a day and age when many young people don't even know who their U.S. Senator is, I thought I might start with a map of the Middle East.  Who knows, someone may learn something.

The President has had a big hand in unraveling the Middle East.  He embraced the Arab Spring lending material support to militants while he talked of how revolution would lead to democracy.  He played a part in the ouster of Hosni Mubarak in Egypt then gave his support to the Muslim Brotherhood.
"In 1991, when Saudi Arabia decided to cooperate with a U.S.-led force to expel Saddam Hussein’s Iraq from Kuwait, Riyadh was emboldened to participate by Cairo, whose support Washington had secured even before asking the Saudis. In fact, after the war, Hussein told his aides that he blamed Mubarak for the Arab action more than King Fahd of Saudi Arabia because the Iraqi dictator believed the Saudis would have been reluctant to act without Egypt." - Reuters
 It should be no surprise that Obama has turned to the Iranians for a foreign policy success story.  After alienating every ally in the region there is no one else  to whom he can turn.  After claiming that Yemen was a counter terrorism success story last September our President is making nice with the Iranian regime that is supporting the extremists which have torn Yemen apart.

In a region populated by violent extremists a revolution that leads to a peaceful democracy isn't possible.  It's not going to happen.  The President's ongoing proxy war in Syria will not result in a democracy.  I'm not a fan of Assad but we could end up with something worse.

"As for Syria, the Saudis are caught between their hatred for Islamic State and their hatred for President Bashar al-Assad. Riyadh’s vision for Syria does not exactly coincide with that of Egypt, which also doesn’t like Assad but fears his collapse more. The tension over this issue was reflected in the recent Arab summit, when Sisi welcomed a statement by Assad’s backer, Russian President Vladimir Putin, while Saudi officials pointedly criticized it." - Reuters

The Reuters story concerns the newly formed pan-Arab military force and asks the question, "Why Now?"  The obvious answer is that our former allies can no longer count on or trust Washington.  Hey guys, join the club.

Libya has been shattered by factional infighting between two major regional coalitions, Libya Dawn in Tripoli and the west, and the Dignity coalition in the east, which supports the recognized Libyan government, now sitting in Tobruk.

Libya was never an ally but the mess that was left behind is a threat to the security of neighboring states.  After Obama's coalition supported the overthrow of Gaddafi he seldom mentions the chaos that has resulted.  I don't think as a man Obama can recognize his own failures.  He has to blot them out to maintain his charade as a world leader.  It helps to have a compliant media at home.

Why should any of this matter to America?  With so much turmoil in the Middle East the possibility of a wider conflict is greatly enhanced.  A conflict which would damage the world economy to such an extent that our way of life would be significantly diminished.  Steven Bucci has a great article at The Daily Signal likening the Middle East today to pre-WWI Europe.

I truly miss Tim Russert.

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